Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 704.781948 793.427725 892.221584 1011.104079 1151.092900 1311.698868 1511.344590
2025-02-23 580.574821 698.678748 842.335025 1032.456121 1281.312966 1601.534556 2054.139412
2025-03-02 521.187917 654.241132 825.451191 1066.862550 1406.829982 1881.985920 2622.076364
2025-03-09 472.477475 612.943002 801.906687 1082.378068 1502.134519 2131.974456 3201.906519
2025-03-16 429.709994 572.400473 771.407983 1079.605406 1565.261454 2340.444056 3764.386858
2025-03-23 401.448779 547.813358 758.835139 1098.903214 1661.853501 2616.520042 4514.717384
2025-03-30 364.413639 506.275525 715.954525 1064.235106 1663.192291 2728.770272 4988.799494
2025-04-06 333.683298 470.960875 678.381905 1032.382489 1662.670932 2834.910495 5478.687863
2025-04-13 306.083982 437.901983 640.894552 995.628315 1646.888189 2907.460451 5915.960818
2025-04-20 296.335806 431.442236 644.698188 1029.131155 1764.363314 3266.778268 7147.417282
2025-04-27 283.381990 418.710785 636.832656 1040.660025 1840.976790 3557.173175 8323.354296
2025-05-04 271.159559 406.116186 627.881920 1048.803859 1911.600081 3849.892777 9635.180599
2025-05-11 256.943892 389.606151 611.493918 1042.458951 1954.200463 4095.462154 10955.723278
2025-05-18 249.213043 383.397222 612.563699 1070.051633 2075.579571 4569.981331 13316.359296
2025-05-25 243.202937 379.552272 617.303264 1105.224367 2220.334983 5149.483938 16477.958095
2025-06-01 235.032354 371.305452 613.186153 1121.593272 2324.043755 5649.024851 19739.139656
2025-06-08 225.041203 359.130401 600.678344 1118.671047 2379.993636 6026.318099 22798.193709
2025-06-15 218.661364 352.962189 598.991363 1138.874535 2498.737759 6642.469357 27722.479643
2025-06-22 206.210498 334.995282 573.150990 1102.587770 2462.122621 6733.298771 29813.480610
2025-06-29 195.036776 318.766042 549.629238 1069.261888 2428.640972 6828.279584 32079.050464
2025-07-06 184.100994 302.423953 524.867052 1030.824006 2375.510921 6840.387578 33860.754534
2025-07-13 181.629201 301.728213 531.307576 1065.860890 2538.097112 7721.889543 43305.941288
2025-07-20 176.942340 296.555943 528.250771 1077.921036 2636.134111 8395.584832 52497.170197